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🥳 It is both my wife and son’s birthday this week, and I wanted to surprise them by saying Happy Birthday here. Surprise! And speaking of surprises Q3 earnings season began winding down on a relatively positive note. For Q3 2023 81% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive Earnings Per Share surprise, and 61% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive revenue surprise. Not bad. That makes the estimated year-over-year earnings growth about 4.1%. If that is the actual growth rate for the quarter, and we are about 91% through the reporting, it will mark the first quarter of year-over-year earnings growth reported since this time in 2022 when we all thought we were staring down a recession.
🎂 Revenue growth has been the most significant contributor to earnings, adding 3.9%, a sign that consumers are still spending. Across sectors, energy has been the largest drag on earnings, while consumer discretionary has been the most buoyant. The frosting on the cake? Maybe, but analysts are now projecting year-over-year earnings growth of only 3.2% next quarter. So the party is perhaps showing signs of also winding down. Corporate commentary has been downbeat, portraying a more challenged business environment heading into 2024. 🎁And management isn’t the only one blowing out candles out there. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index declined to 60.4, missing consensus estimates of 63.7. Given the parade of bad news, mainly in the form of political and geopolitical events, it’s not surprising. But future spending hinges, at least in part, on confidence and sentiment. This could be an issue for the aforementioned consumer discretionary sector. But fear not, I’ll be helping that sector out in Q4 buying birthday presents. Maybe it will be enough. -Patrick Huey, CFP®, CAP®, ATP Victory Independent Planning
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Patrick HueyPatrick Huey is a small business owner and the author of two books on history and finance as well as the highly-rated recently-released fictional work Hell: A Novel. As owner of Victory Independent Planning, LLC, Patrick works with families and non-profit organizations. He is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional, Chartered Advisor in Philanthropy® and an Accredited Tax Preparer. He earned a Bachelor’s degree in History from the University of Pittsburgh, and a Master of Business Administration from Arizona State University. Archives
November 2023
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*Patrick Huey was featured in the above-referenced publications. Being included in these publications does not guarantee future investment success and should not be construed as a current or past endorsement or testimonial for Patrick Huey by this publication. These publications do not suggest that any of his clients or prospective client will experience a higher level of investment performance.
The material in the website has been distributed for informational purposes only. The material contained in this website is not a solicitation to purchase or sell any security or offer of investment advice. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results. Investing in the markets is subject to certain risks including market, interest rate, issuer, credit and inflation risk; investments may be worth more or less than the original cost when redeemed. No part of this website may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission. Hyperlinks on this website are provided as a convenience, and we disclaim any responsibility for information, services or products found on websites linked hereto.
Patrick Huey is an investment advisor representative of Dynamic Wealth Advisors dba Victory Independent Planning, LLC. All investment advisory services are offered through Dynamic Wealth Advisors. You can learn more about us by reading our ADV. You can get your copy on the Securities and Exchange Commission website. See https:/ / adviserinfo.sec.gov/IAPD by searching under crd #151367. You can contact us if you would like to receive a copy. The tax services and preparation conducted by Patrick Huey and Victory Independence Planning are considered outside business activities from Dynamic Wealth Advisors. They are separate and apart from Mr. Huey's activities as an investment advisor representative of Dynamic Wealth Advisors.
Patrick Huey is the author of two books: "History Lessons for the Modern Investor" and "The Seven Pillars of (Financial) Wisdom"; this is considered an outside business activity for Patrick Huey and is separate and apart from his activities as an investment advisor representative with Dynamic Wealth Advisors. The material contained in these books are the current opinions of the author, Patrick Huey but not necessarily those of Dynamic Wealth Advisors. The opinions expressed in these books are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security. They are intended to provide education about the financial industry. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any past performance discussed in these books is no guarantee of future results. As always please remember investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital.
Victory Independent Planning, LLC. provides links for your convenience to websites produced by other providers or industry related material. Accessing websites through links directs you away from our website. Victory Independent Planning, LLC. is not responsible for errors or omissions in the material on third party websites, and does not necessarily approve of or endorse the information provided. Users who gain access to third party websites may be subject to the copyright and other restrictions on use imposed by those providers and assume responsibility and risk from use of those websites.
Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc. (CFP Board) owns the CFP® certification mark, the CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ certification mark, and the CFP® certification mark (with plaque design) logo in the United States, which it authorizes use of by individuals who successfully complete CFP Board’s initial and ongoing certification requirements.
The material in the website has been distributed for informational purposes only. The material contained in this website is not a solicitation to purchase or sell any security or offer of investment advice. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results. Investing in the markets is subject to certain risks including market, interest rate, issuer, credit and inflation risk; investments may be worth more or less than the original cost when redeemed. No part of this website may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission. Hyperlinks on this website are provided as a convenience, and we disclaim any responsibility for information, services or products found on websites linked hereto.
Patrick Huey is an investment advisor representative of Dynamic Wealth Advisors dba Victory Independent Planning, LLC. All investment advisory services are offered through Dynamic Wealth Advisors. You can learn more about us by reading our ADV. You can get your copy on the Securities and Exchange Commission website. See https:/ / adviserinfo.sec.gov/IAPD by searching under crd #151367. You can contact us if you would like to receive a copy. The tax services and preparation conducted by Patrick Huey and Victory Independence Planning are considered outside business activities from Dynamic Wealth Advisors. They are separate and apart from Mr. Huey's activities as an investment advisor representative of Dynamic Wealth Advisors.
Patrick Huey is the author of two books: "History Lessons for the Modern Investor" and "The Seven Pillars of (Financial) Wisdom"; this is considered an outside business activity for Patrick Huey and is separate and apart from his activities as an investment advisor representative with Dynamic Wealth Advisors. The material contained in these books are the current opinions of the author, Patrick Huey but not necessarily those of Dynamic Wealth Advisors. The opinions expressed in these books are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security. They are intended to provide education about the financial industry. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any past performance discussed in these books is no guarantee of future results. As always please remember investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital.
Victory Independent Planning, LLC. provides links for your convenience to websites produced by other providers or industry related material. Accessing websites through links directs you away from our website. Victory Independent Planning, LLC. is not responsible for errors or omissions in the material on third party websites, and does not necessarily approve of or endorse the information provided. Users who gain access to third party websites may be subject to the copyright and other restrictions on use imposed by those providers and assume responsibility and risk from use of those websites.
Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc. (CFP Board) owns the CFP® certification mark, the CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ certification mark, and the CFP® certification mark (with plaque design) logo in the United States, which it authorizes use of by individuals who successfully complete CFP Board’s initial and ongoing certification requirements.